Chris Christie seems pretty delusional. According to this article by Dan Balz, Christie believes that Donald Trump, Ben Carson, and Carly Fiorina, three of the highest polling conservatives running in the presidential primaries, have no chance at winning the Republic nomination. Christie apparently also believes that "his" real competition are Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush, and while I agree that Rubio and Bush will definitely be real competition, they won't be real competition for Christie, as it seems like Christie's probability of winning is very small. Christie has been consistently getting poll results of between 0% and 5%, leaning more toward 0% than 5%. These numbers make it seem very improbable that Christie will win, and I think that Christie's confident view on his chances of winning are just a front, and that as Christie's polling numbers will continue at the same level or even decrease, he will eventually give up the race. Christie's recent hard campaigning in New Hampshire seems just a prolongation of the inevitability of his approaching capitulation.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/back-in-the-pack-this-is-not-the-campaign-chris-christie-envisioned/2015/10/10/c865337e-6f5b-11e5-aa5b-f78a98956699_story.html
It is questionable whether or not the top three Republican candidates, none of whom are politicians, will win the upcoming presidential primaries despite their high numbers in the polls. Trump's support has been decreasing, but he still remains at the top alongside Carson and Fiorina, Americans have been increasingly supporting these non-politician candidates due to their desire for change in a government system that may not be working. Although I'm unsure whether any of those three candidates will win, Chris Christie does not realistically have a chance among them. Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio certainly have a strong grip on their campaign, as their numbers are close to Fiorina's according to RealClearPolitics. However, Chris Christie is decreasing in the polls and has even less support than Kasich and Huckabee. I completely agree with Jeremy in that Christie's chances of winning are slim. However, his adamance in his campaign show that it will take more than just decreasing poll numbers for him to drop out of the race.
ReplyDeleteI agree that Chris Christie has no shot in winning this nomination. Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, Ben Carson, all have exponentially higher chances at winning than Christie does. The numbers aren't going to get any higher -- he should stop wasting money on this campaign and refocus on the problems in New Jersey.
ReplyDeleteIn the array of Republican Candidates running for the 1 coveted GOP presidential nomination, it seems that some will be forgotten and some will come out as frontrunners who have a respectable shot of winning. Unfortunately for Christie, he is in the former group. Christie, without any real impetus from his campaign or major gaffes from other campaigns, will ultimately drop out of the election as his numbers decrease.
ReplyDeleteI agree that Chris Christies does not have a chance to represent the Republican Party in the 2016 presidential campaign as other candidates are gaining way more support due to their deviation from the norm and policies. He doesn't really stand a chance against the other candidates such as Trump, Fiorina, and Carson who are constantly covered on the media for what they say. He just doesn't have the popularity to win.
ReplyDeleteI find it hard to believe that Chris Christie will have much of a chance of winning the presidential nomination, but I agree that it is strange that Chris Christie thinks that Trump, Carson, and Fiorina do not have a shot at winning the nomination when they are not only currently the three highest polling, but also receive quite a lot of media coverage. I feel that it may be more a matter of pride by continuing to push on also in his responses to the interviews instead of admitting defeat, but I do think that in the end he may just drop out.
ReplyDeleteI agree with Chrisite that Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio are more likely than Fiorina, Trump, or Carson to win the GOP nomination. Yet, I don't think that Christie is in the same league as any of the candidates I mentioned. His numbers aren't nearly as strong as the other candidates, he doesn't have enough support and it doesn't appear that he will ever receive it.
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