The article argues that Marco Rubio is likely going to be the Republican nominee and only acknowledges Ted Cruz as a legitimate opponent. He asserts that Trump and Carson will never win the nomination because of their lack of support from the establishment. He ultimately argues that Rubio will succeed over Cruz, listing several reasons why Cruz will not be able to prevail against Rubio. Although I would say Rubio is definitely a contender, I wouldn't rule out Trump like the author did. The establishment remains divided, despite Bush's dropping numbers. John Kasich also hasn't shown indications that he plans on dropping out, which fragments the establishment even more. If they do not rally behind Rubio, I still think there is a chance Trump could win. Also, even though I think Rubio would prevail over Cruz, I disagree with the reasons that the author presents as to why Rubio would be more successful than Cruz. I think the main reason Rubio will garner more support than Cruz is because Rubio is more moderate, whereas Cruz leans extremely to the right. As we are observing with the Democratic Primary, the more moderate candidate tends to be more popular and more successful. Thus, I think this will be the main reason why Rubio will gain more support than Cruz in the election.
http://douthat.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/10/28/why-not-cruz/?module=BlogPost-Title&version=Blog%20Main&contentCollection=Opinion&action=Click&pgtype=Blogs®ion=Body&mtrref=undefined&assetType=opinion&_r=1&mtrref=douthat.blogs.nytimes.com&assetType=opi
I agree that Rubio trumps Cruz because he is not as far to the right as Cruz is. I also feel that even with the lack of support, Trump does have a chance. America is responding to Trump in large numbers. He is speaking about such change and that is what the people want right now. The media coverage on him has made him so well known. Other than that, I do agree that Rubio is definitely a legitimate opponent to Trump and I feel that Carson's numbers will drop exponentially the closer we get to the election.
ReplyDeleteI agree with Howard. Trump and Carson are leading the polls right now and it is highly unlikely that the views of voters will change so soon, with elections less than a week away. In a society where many politicians have failed to bring the change and trust America needs, perhaps these individuals will be given the chance to show what difference they can make in the government. Rubio is also a firm candidate in the primary elections as he is the leading politician on the polls. Nevertheless, Cruz' extreme policies will probably not get the vote of moderates learning toward the right. Perhaps if the other candidates, such as Bush and Florina, drop out, which is unlikely at this point, Cruz can gain a large portion of those votes. However, with the way things are looking at this point, Trump, Carson, or Rubio will most likely win the bid.
ReplyDeleteDespite Rubio establishing himself as a player among the Republican candidates, I don't think he will be able to over throw Trump. Trump has played a strategic election saving money and appealing to the people. Cruz's policies are much more radical than Rubio's which will cause him to lose. At the end of the day, Trump will stand among the Republican candidates.
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